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CSS Statistics QUESTION #1979
Question 1
A box contains 4 bad and 6 good tubes. Two tubes are drawn at random. Given that one tested tube is good, the probability that the other is also good using the conditional probability approach is:
  • \(\dfrac{1}{3}\)
  • \(\dfrac{5}{9}\)
  • \(\dfrac{5}{14}\)
  • \(\dfrac{5}{13}\)✔️
Correct Answer Explanation
Let A = both good, B = at least one good. \(P(A) = \binom{6}{2}/\binom{10}{2} = 15/45 = 1/3\). \(P(B) = 1 - P(\text{both bad}) = 1 - \binom{4}{2}/\binom{10}{2} = 1 - 6/45 = 39/45\). But the condition is one specific tube tested is good: \(P(\text{other good}|\text{one is good}) = \frac{5}{9}\) using hypergeometric reasoning on remaining 9 tubes (5 good, 4 bad). Answer is \(\dfrac{5}{9}\).